Population Ageing and External Debt: The Case of Emerging and Developing Economies

Arı, Ayşe | Sapmaz, Hatice

While the population is aging rapidly in developed countries, significant increases in the elderly population are also observed in developing countries. The increase in the elderly population may lead to a number of macroeconomic problems for countries. The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of population ageing on external debt for emerging and developing countries. The study covers the period 1996-2019 and the system-generalised method of moments (GMM) is used. The findings show that population ageing has a positive effect on external debt. This result supports the hypothesis that the high expenditures of the elderly population such as health and pensions will deepen the budget deficit and increase external borrowing. Therefore, an increase in external debt due to population ...