Multi-source assessment of drought risk in Lake Eğirdir under climate change
Yiğit, Abdurahman Yasin
In this study, shoreline changes in Lake Eğirdir, Türkiye, were investigated over a 34-year period (1990–2024) through the application of remote sensing, GIS-based coastal analysis (DSAS- Digital Shoreline Analysis System) and statistical trend methodologies. Landsat images and meteorological data are analysed together to evaluate the relationship between climate variability and shoreline dynamics. The findings show that there is a significant shoreline erosion, especially in the northern and western regions, with the End Point Rate (EPR) values reaching −23.6 m/year and Linear Regression Rate (LRR) values reaching −11.23 m/year. According to the results of statistical trend analysis methods (Mann-Kendall-MK and Spearman Rho-SR) and Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA) methods (sorted and unsor...
Spatiotemporal Agricultural Drought Assessment and Mapping Its Vulnerability in a Semi-Arid Region Exhibiting Aridification Trends
Iban, Muzaffer Can
Agricultural drought, increasingly intensified by climate change, poses a significant threat to food security and water resources in semi-arid regions, including Türkiye’s Konya Closed Basin. This study evaluates six satellite-derived indices—Vegetation Health Index (VHI), Vegetation Condition Index (VCI), Temperature Condition Index (TCI), Precipitation Condition Index (PCI), Evapotranspiration Condition Index (ETCI), and Soil Moisture Condition Index (SMCI)—to monitor agricultural drought (2001–2024) and proposes a drought vulnerability map using a novel Drought Vulnerability Index (DVI). Integrating Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), Climate Hazards Center InfraRed Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS), and Land Data Assimilation System (FLDAS) datasets, the DVI combin...